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Macro

US August existing home sales fall 2% as supply hits highest since 2015

US existing home sales fell 2% month-over-month in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million, versus expectations of 3.99 million and a prior reading of 4.06 million. The monthly decline was steeper than the 1.6% drop forecast, with the previous month revised to -1.7%. August existing home supply reached its highest level since 2015.

Original source

AI take

The standout is supply, not the modest sales miss: inventory at its highest since 2015 shifts leverage toward buyers and loosens the pricing backdrop. That matters for anyone holding housing exposure — from mortgage and title volumes to the asset-backed and RWA pools tied to residential credit — because transaction flow, not headline demand, drives fee income. Whether the sales pace stabilizes as inventory clears is the open question; a continued gap between supply and closing activity would signal a slower, more price-sensitive market.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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