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Macro

ECB Officials Expect Tightening to Continue in October

European Central Bank officials expect the central bank to keep tightening monetary policy in October. The signal points to further rate increases as the ECB continues its fight against inflation in the euro area.

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AI take

The signal matters less for the size of any single move than for what it says about the ECB's reaction function: officials are still prioritizing inflation over growth risks, even as the euro-area outlook softens. That keeps pressure on euro-denominated risk assets, including tokenized real-world asset products priced or yielding off euro rates, since higher policy rates raise the discount rate applied to those cash flows. Whether the October signal is followed by action — and whether it marks the last hike of the cycle — is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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