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IEA cuts oil demand forecast again amid Iran conflict

The International Energy Agency has again lowered its oil demand forecast, citing the ongoing conflict with Iran. It is at least the second downward revision the Paris-based agency has made as the war weighs on its outlook. The IEA did not disclose the size of the latest cut or the revised demand figure.

Original source

AI take

The notable point is not the downgrade itself but the pattern: repeated revisions with no disclosed magnitude, which leaves the market trading on direction rather than level. That matters most for anyone using IEA balances as a demand anchor, since an undisclosed cut weakens the forecast's value as a reference point. Whether the agency eventually quantifies the revision, or continues adjusting it as the conflict evolves, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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