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Macro

US Sept Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Inflation Expectations Due at 22:00 Beijing Time

The preliminary September reading of the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index is due at 22:00 Beijing time, alongside the preliminary September readings for one-year and five-year inflation expectations. The data will be released in the US session.

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AI take

This is a second-tier print that nonetheless carries outsized weight in rate-sensitive markets, because the Fed's easing bias has made inflation expectations, not sentiment itself, the number that moves. A sentiment beat paired with sticky one-year expectations would complicate the disinflation narrative; the reverse would reinforce it. The five-year series matters most for whether the recent drift in longer-horizon expectations is treated as noise or a trend.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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