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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Holds Near $78,600 as Hot Core CPI Firms Fed Rate-Hike Bets

US August core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above the 0.2% expected, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates next week. Bitcoin traded around $78,600, up 1.5% over 24 hours, with analysts saying the market had already priced in a hike. 21Shares strategist Matt Mena said bitcoin has averaged a 2.13% gain in the 30 days after core CPI topped forecasts.

Original source

AI take

The hotter core CPI print matters less for what it says about next week's Fed decision — which the market had already discounted — than for what it says about the path beyond it. Bitcoin's muted, slightly positive reaction suggests positioning is light rather than conviction-driven, and the historical pattern cited here is a small sample that says little about this cycle. The open question is whether bitcoin keeps absorbing macro tightening without a sharper repricing, or whether that resilience is simply a lag.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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