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Macro

Citi forecasts Fed rate hike in September, cuts by mid-2027

Citigroup expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in September, before pivoting to rate cuts by mid-2027. The bank’s projection points to a near-term tightening cycle followed by an eventual easing shift over the coming years.

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AI take

Citi's call is notable less for its destination than its path: a hike before cuts inverts the easing consensus that has shaped positioning across risk assets, including crypto and tokenized RWAs. A near-term tightening signal, if it gains traction, would test the rate-sensitive narratives that have underpinned much of the sector's recent bid. Whether other major houses follow Citi's non-consensus sequencing is the open question, and how that repricing filters into dollar liquidity and duration appetite is what matters next.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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