TREE NEWS reports: Bitcoin has gained 22% and gold 9.4% since July 24, with US debt above $40 trillion and Treasury yields nearing 5.0%. Markets price roughly 3.1 quarter-point hikes over 24 months, with September odds near 50% after swinging between 58% and 42%. A hold at the September 16 FOMC meeting could open a relief rally in rate-sensitive assets, while a hike would raise the odds of another move in October.
Bitcoin Up 22% and Gold 9.4% Since July 24 as Fed Rate Call Looms
The tandem move in bitcoin and gold says more about the macro backdrop than about either asset's own narrative: with debt above $40 trillion and yields pressing toward 5%, both are trading as hedges against fiscal and rate uncertainty rather than as rivals. The September FOMC is the pivot, and the market's own swing between 58% and 42% shows how little conviction sits behind the pricing. Whether a hold actually unlocks a relief rally in rate-sensitive assets, or a hike resets the whole calculus into October, is the open question.
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