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Macro

US August retail sales ex-autos rise 1.4% MoM, vs 0.6% expected

US retail sales excluding automobiles rose 1.4% month-on-month in August, beating expectations of 0.6%, after a prior reading of -0.3%. The figure, released as part of the monthly retail sales report, points to firmer consumer spending than economists had forecast.

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AI take

The beat matters less for the headline than for the revision: a prior reading of -0.3% flipping to +1.4% against a 0.6% consensus suggests the consumer is more resilient than the prior month's data implied. That complicates any narrative of a fast-cooling demand backdrop, which is the real signal for risk assets. Whether this strength holds in the next report — or proves a one-month rebound — is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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