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Macro

SocGen’s Rajappa Forecasts Fed Rate Hike in December, Another in March 2027

Societe Generale’s Rajappa expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again in December, with a possible further move in March 2027. The forecast points to a more hawkish policy path than current market pricing, though the material did not specify the size of either increase or the reasoning behind the call.

Original source

AI take

A hawkish call on the Fed matters for crypto and RWA markets because tighter policy has generally pressured risk assets and dollar-sensitive tokens. The signal here is the gap between one strategist's view and current market pricing, which suggests some investors may be positioned for a different rate path. The forecast's credibility is hard to assess without the reasoning or the size of the moves. Whether other desks shift toward this view, or the Fed's own communication does, is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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