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Crypto Macro

Raoul Pal Says Bitcoin Will Outperform Nasdaq 100 as Fed Hikes Rates to 3.75%-4.00%

Real Vision founder Raoul Pal said bitcoin’s weekly chart against the Nasdaq 100 has broken its downtrend and he expects the cryptocurrency to outperform the index. He noted bitcoin rose from about $75,580 to above $81,000 after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%. Pal said fiscal dominance and debt refinancing needs will boost liquidity and benefit crypto assets.

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AI take

Pal's call rests on a technical break in bitcoin's ratio against the Nasdaq 100, not on the rate decision itself — notable because the Fed's hike was the kind of event that historically pressured risk assets, yet bitcoin advanced. The fiscal-dominance argument reframes the debate: the case is about debt refinancing and liquidity conditions rather than monetary tightening. Whether that ratio holds above its former downtrend is the open question, and it matters most for allocators treating crypto as a relative bet against equities rather than a standalone one.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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