TREE NEWS reports: PlanB said on X that bitcoin, at about $87,000, has climbed above all major realized prices: the overall realized price near $53,000, the 155-day realized price near $72,000 and the 2-year realized price near $86,000. He sees a drop below $53,000 this cycle as unlikely and expects BTC to set a new high within the 2024-2028 halving cycle.
PlanB: BTC Above All Major Realized Prices, New High Expected This Cycle
The claim rests on a technical reading: with spot above the aggregate, 155-day and 2-year realized prices, the cost basis of most recent buyers sits in profit, which historically compresses the odds of a deep retracement toward the overall realized level. That framing matters for anyone using realized-price bands as a cycle map, though it is a single analyst's interpretation rather than a market-wide consensus. Whether those cost-basis lines keep holding as support, and whether the halving-cycle high thesis survives a sustained break below them, is the open question.
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