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Crypto Macro

Bernstein Projects Prediction Market Volume to Hit $10T by 2035

Bernstein forecasts annual prediction market trading volume will reach $10 trillion by 2035, up from an estimated $41 billion in 2026. Crypto, equity and commodity trading is expected to surpass sports-related trading before 2035, accounting for 49% of total volume, the firm said.

Original source

AI take

Bernstein's forecast implies prediction markets are being reclassified from a niche, sports-led betting venue into a general-purpose trading venue for crypto, equities and commodities. That shift matters because it puts the sector on a collision course with established derivatives and exchange venues, and with the regulators who oversee them. The open question is whether the product mix actually broadens as projected, since that — not headline volume — is what would force a repricing of the sector's competitive and regulatory standing.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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