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Oct 9
13:26

President Donald Trump’s expanded beef imports have not noticeably lowered prices, drawing backlash from ranchers. The import push was intended to ease costs for US consumers, but the price effect has so far been limited, leaving domestic cattle producers frustrated with the policy.

Macro
13:21

The Bank of Peru’s head of monetary policy, Montoro, said the effects of El Niño in Peru will continue through the first half of 2027. The central bank official gave the projection without further detail on expected economic or inflationary consequences.

Macro
13:15

The Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility took in $300 million on Friday, October 9, from a single counterparty, down from $335 million the previous trading day. The near-empty facility reflects how few eligible firms still have reason to park cash at the central bank’s overnight rate.

Macro
13:09

Shanghai base metals closed mostly higher in night trading, with international copper up 0.78% and SHFE copper gaining 0.84%. SHFE aluminum rose 0.96%, zinc jumped 1.39%, lead added 0.72% and tin climbed 1.73%, while nickel fell 0.44%. Alumina edged up 0.19% and aluminum alloy gained 0.41%, with stainless steel down 0.26%.

Macro
13:04

Nobel laureate Paul Krugman warned that France’s deteriorating public finances are on an “unsustainable path” and could trigger a debt crisis across the eurozone. In an article published on October 8, Krugman wrote that France’s situation is “genuinely worrying,” adding that it is not only France’s problem: as a eurozone member, a runaway debt crisis there could fracture European unity. He said markets are pricing France’s default probability “too low.”

Macro
13:01

The number of active US oil drilling rigs rose to 462 in the week of October 9, up from 456 the previous week. The six-rig increase marks a modest pickup in US oil drilling activity.

Macro
12:51

London Metal Exchange copper closed $231 higher at $14,540 a tonne, with tin posting the session’s biggest gain, up $1,559 to $53,006/t. Zinc rose $87 to $3,806/t, nickel added $69 to $15,622/t and lead gained $28 to $1,888/t. Aluminium slipped $2 to $3,048/t, while cobalt was flat at $39,245/t.

Macro
12:47

The US Food and Drug Administration has approved a drug for the treatment of skin lesions caused by the herpes simplex virus. The approval covers a therapy indicated for herpetic lesions, though no further details on the product, manufacturer or clinical data were disclosed.

Macro
12:43

Germany’s 2-year Bund yield rose 1.8bps on Friday to 3.127%, gaining 5.1bps over the week within a 2.994%-3.148% range. The 10-year yield fell 1.4bps to 3.481% but added 1.9bps on the week, trading between 3.415% and 3.538%. The 30-year yield gained 3.4bps weekly to 3.853%, and the 2s/10s spread narrowed 3.169bps to +34.999bps.

Macro
12:42

Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos said markets are underestimating the risk of a major AI accident that would drive capital into bonds. The AI narrative has shifted from potentially disinflationary to pushing yields higher, while clients are broadly bearish on French debt. Saravelos sees a breakdown in the AI ecosystem as the biggest systemic risk, which would be dollar-negative and bond-positive.

AI × CryptoMacro
12:42

The compensation investors demand to hold French government debt rather than Italian debt has risen to its highest level since the euro was created. On Friday, the yield gap between the two countries’ benchmark 10-year bonds reached a record 30 basis points. Until last year, Italy was still seen as the riskier of the two, with higher borrowing costs than France.

Macro
12:37

Chilean copper commission Cochilco reported that the Escondida mine produced 76,100 tons of copper in August, down 27.6% year on year. Output at the Collahuasi mine fell 25.1% over the same month to 26,500 tons.

Macro
12:35

Russia told the World Health Organization about the death of a worker at the Irkutsk Research Institute of Plague Control of Siberia and the Far East and said no second case has emerged, with preventive measures now lifted. The 28-year-old female employee died on Feb. 2 of what was described as community-acquired pneumonia. Irkutsk Governor Igor Kobzev said all medical observation of contacts has ended with no health problems linked to the infection.

Macro
12:34

The US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (MMA) said about 71.51% of daily crude oil production and 58.84% of daily natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico is currently shut in. That equates to roughly 1.5 million barrels per day, or 72% of the region’s oil output, taken offline.

Macro
12:28

Dutch Prime Minister Jetten said in The Hague that the Netherlands is signaling to the United States that it will take all necessary measures to protect the International Criminal Court. The statement was made in The Hague. No further details were provided in the material.

Macro
12:23

Goldman Sachs strategists led by Sharon Bell said further upside for UK equities depends on defense orders materializing and new, fully funded increases in defense spending. The UK government’s Defense Investment Plan confirms a supportive structural backdrop for the sector, benefiting UK companies in nuclear, combat aviation, maritime defense, weapons systems and defense electronics. A credible, funded path to defense spending of 3% of GDP is needed for a more meaningful market catalyst.

MacroUS Stocks
12:23

Chevron said it has evacuated most of its personnel from the Gulf of Mexico because of Hurricane Isaias. Production operations at its four platforms continue to proceed safely, the company said. No further details on output levels or timing were given.

Macro
12:16

US President Donald Trump said gasoline prices will fall soon. The remark, made without a specified date or venue, points to an expectation of lower fuel costs at the pump. No further details, figures or policy measures were given.

Macro
12:14

The Mexican peso extended its decline to 1.4%, trading at 18.4380 per US dollar, its weakest intraday level since November 2025. The move marks a fresh multi-month low for the currency against the greenback.

Macro
12:14

US diesel prices have risen about 70% since the US and Israel went to war with Iran, with the national average reaching $6.28 a gallon on October 8. The Trump administration has pushed allies to release emergency oil reserves and allowed road vehicles to use untaxed dyed diesel, but industry figures say the measures cannot fix tight global refined-product supply, and tax and logistics hurdles have kept major retailers from widely adopting dyed diesel. The increase is squeezing US farmers and truck drivers.

Macro
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