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Bitcoin Could Fall to $68K if $73K Support Breaks, Warns Wintermute

Wintermute warns Bitcoin may drop to $68,000 if it loses $73,000 support, citing post-election risk-off sentiment and $1.28 billion in spot Bitcoin ETF outflows. The market maker notes Bitcoin’s renewed correlation with U.S. equities as macro uncertainty weighs on risk assets.

Wintermute Flags $73K as Critical Bitcoin Support Level

Crypto market maker Wintermute has warned that Bitcoin could slide to $68,000 if the leading cryptocurrency fails to hold the $73,000 support level. The caution comes as risk appetite waned following the U.S. midterm elections, re-establishing a strong correlation between Bitcoin and macro risk assets such as U.S. equities.

In its weekly market report dated November 9, Wintermute noted that spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows of $1.28 billion last week, underscoring a shift in investor sentiment. The outflows reflect a broader de-risking trend across crypto markets, with traders rotating out of high-beta assets amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty.

ETF Outflows Signal Shifting Sentiment

The $1.28 billion in net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs marks one of the largest weekly withdrawals since the products launched. Wintermute’s analysis suggests that the exodus is not isolated but part of a wider recalibration of risk exposure by institutional and retail investors alike.

“The post-election risk-off environment has reasserted Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional risk assets,” the report stated. “If $73,000 fails to hold, the next downside target is likely $68,000.”

Market participants are closely watching the $73,000 level, which has served as a psychological and technical support zone in recent weeks. A breakdown could trigger cascading liquidations in leveraged positions, amplifying downward pressure.

Macro Correlations Tighten

Bitcoin’s renewed sensitivity to macroeconomic cues—particularly U.S. equity performance and Federal Reserve policy expectations—highlights its evolving role as a risk asset rather than a safe haven. The midterm elections introduced fresh uncertainty around fiscal policy and regulatory priorities, further dampening appetite for speculative assets.

Wintermute’s outlook aligns with broader market caution. Traders are monitoring upcoming economic data releases and Fed communications for signals on interest rate trajectories, which could dictate near-term volatility across both crypto and traditional markets.

Forward Outlook: Key Levels to Watch

Should Bitcoin breach $73,000, the $68,000 level emerges as the next significant support. A sustained break below that could open the door to deeper corrections, potentially testing levels not seen since earlier in the year. Conversely, a rebound above $75,000 could restore confidence and attract dip-buyers.

For now, the market remains in a wait-and-see mode, with liquidity conditions and ETF flow data likely to serve as near-term catalysts. Wintermute’s warning serves as a reminder that in a macro-driven environment, technical levels can quickly become self-fulfilling prophecies.

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