TREE NEWS update: CFTC Chair Mike Selig said the agency holds exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, arguing fraud and manipulation do not stop at state lines. In an X post, Selig said prediction market exchanges operate interstate, matching buy and sell quotes from customers nationwide. Congress has authorized the CFTC to enforce uniform standards, monitor and prosecute fraud and manipulation, and protect customer funds across state borders.
CFTC Chair Mike Selig Reaffirms Exclusive Jurisdiction Over Prediction Markets
Selig's framing shifts the debate from whether prediction markets are gambling to who gets to police them, and he is claiming that ground for Washington rather than state regulators. The interstate-matching argument is the substantive hook: if every trade crosses state lines by design, state-by-state oversight becomes unworkable in practice, not just legally awkward. That matters for platforms weighing US expansion and for state regulators who have treated the sector as their own. Whether Congress or the courts ratify this exclusive-jurisdiction reading is the open question.
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