Polymarket Odds of GPT Astra 6.1+ Release by Nov 15 Rise to 44%

Prediction markets are doing double duty here as both a sentiment gauge and a de facto release calendar for OpenAI, and the sharp 24-hour move suggests traders are reacting to something beyond routine speculation. The strict resolution criteria — public release, specific naming, no placeholders — mean these odds reflect confidence in a concrete product event rather than vague AI progress. Worth watching is whether the short-dated and month-end contracts stay this far apart: that gap implies traders expect a release window rather than a fixed date, and how it narrows or widens will signal how much of this is positioning versus genuine information.