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Analysts see China’s August CPI up 0.7-0.9%

Chinese economists expect the August CPI to rise 0.7-0.9% year-on-year, maintaining moderate inflation, while PPI gains may ease. Zhu Keli of Guoyan New Economy Research Institute forecasts CPI at 0.7%, citing pork price stabilization, fresh vegetable gains, and resilient services spending. Sun Binbin of Caitong Securities sees 0.9%, noting weak consumer demand may limit upside.

Original source

AI take

The narrow forecast range suggests consensus on stable consumer prices, but the divergence between pork-driven support and weak demand highlights a fragile balance. For markets, the CPI print will test whether inflation is truly self-sustaining or merely supply-side driven. The easing PPI path is the more consequential signal for corporate margins and downstream pricing power. What matters next is whether services spending can offset soft goods demand, and if producer price weakness starts feeding into consumer expectations.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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