TREE NEWS update: Prediction market Kalshi plans to file with the CFTC as early as next week for a never-expiring futures contract on West Texas Intermediate crude, a source told Reuters. The 24/5 perpetual contract would allow continuous trading on oil prices without expiry dates.
Kalshi to Seek CFTC Approval for Perpetual WTI Crude Contract
This move signals prediction markets are pushing deeper into traditional commodity derivatives, blurring the line between event contracts and mainstream futures. If approved, it could test the CFTC's stance on perpetual instruments outside regulated exchanges, potentially opening a new venue for oil price exposure. The key watchpoint is whether regulators treat this as a novel product or a regulatory arbitrage concern, which could set a precedent for other commodities.
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