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Macro

China Treasury Futures Close Mixed; 30-Year Up 0.03%

China’s treasury futures closed narrowly mixed, with the 30-year main contract up 0.03% and the 10-year main contract flat at 0.00%. The 5-year main contract gained 0.01%, while the 2-year main contract was unchanged, down 0.00%.

Original source

AI take

The near-total absence of movement across the curve — with the 30-year the only contract to register any gain at all — suggests a market waiting on a catalyst rather than repricing risk. The marginal long-end firmness is the one detail worth noting: when the longest duration leads even slightly, it usually reflects positioning around rate expectations rather than a broad directional view. Whether that long-end bid persists or fades into the next session is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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