TREE NEWS reports: Nohshad Shah, head of fixed income sales for EMEA at Citadel Securities, said rising US Treasury real yields could test the AI boom, estimating that about one-third of hyperscaler capex this year is debt-financed. Higher funding costs will make future cash generation more important, he said, while reiterating his bullish view on hyperscalers such as Microsoft and Google because their business models extend beyond selling access to AI models.
Rising Real Yields May Test AI Boom, Says Citadel Securities’ Nohshad Shah
The notable point is the framing of AI infrastructure spending as increasingly rate-sensitive: if a meaningful share of hyperscaler capex is debt-financed, real yields become a direct input into the economics of the buildout, not just a background macro variable. That shifts scrutiny toward cash generation and business-model durability rather than AI narrative alone, which is where Shah locates his continued bullishness. The open question is whether rising real yields actually slow the pace of that spending, or merely reprice how it is funded.
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