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Macro

BOJ Leans Against Back-to-Back Rate Hike in October, December in Play

Bank of Japan officials are leaning against a second consecutive rate hike at this month’s meeting, though a move as early as December remains possible, people familiar with the matter said. With no sign of a sudden jump in upside inflation risks, officials see no need for back-to-back increases, and will scrutinize data ahead of the Dec. 18-19 meeting. The final decision at the Oct. 30 gathering could still change, the people said.

Original source

AI take

The signal matters less as a rate decision than as a reminder that yen funding conditions still set the tone for carry-driven risk assets, including crypto. A December move kept in play, with October explicitly downplayed, means the timing risk shifts rather than disappears, and data between the two meetings does the work. Whether officials hold that framing, or the October meeting itself surprises, is the open question for anyone watching yen-sensitive positioning.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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