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AI’s Debt Surge: Wall Street Finances Tech Giants’ CapEx

Tech giants like Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are increasingly turning to debt markets to fund massive AI infrastructure, with Morgan Stanley projecting AI-related debt issuance to reach nearly $570B in 2026. Nvidia’s partnership with Apollo, BlackRock, and others aims to mobilize $500B+ in third-party capital, positioning AI compute as a new investable asset class. This shift highlights growing concerns over free cash flow and capital efficiency, as companies like Oracle face downgrades amid heavy borrowing.

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AI take

The significance here is structural: AI compute is being converted from a corporate balance-sheet expense into a financed asset class, with private credit and asset managers taking on the role banks once played for capex-heavy industries. That broadens who carries the risk beyond the tech giants themselves, and it makes capital efficiency, not just model capability, the metric that matters. The open question is whether free cash flow keeps pace with the borrowing, and whether lenders keep pricing that risk as benignly as they do now.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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