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Macro

US July PCE Inflation Rate 0.2% MoM, Beats Expectations

The US July PCE price index rose 0.2% month-over-month, surpassing expectations. This key inflation gauge could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

Original source

AI take

The stronger-than-expected core inflation reading complicates the narrative of a swiftly cooling price environment, which markets had been pricing into rate-cut expectations. For crypto and RWA markets, this data point matters because it directly feeds into the cost of capital and the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. The immediate focus shifts to how the Fed interprets this single print against the broader trend of disinflation. Whether this marks the start of a stickier inflation regime or is an outlier in a downward path is the key variable for risk asset valuations in the near term.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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