TREE NEWS update: US Senators Elizabeth Warren and John Curtis sent letters to prediction-market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket demanding details on how they prevent insider trading and market manipulation in election betting ahead of next week’s midterms. The lawmakers asked the firms to disclose the number of suspected violations blocked before trades occurred and identified afterward, with written replies due by November 3. They said they remain doubtful the companies can adequately police such event contracts with effective review and real accountability.
Warren, Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election-Bet Insider Trading
The scrutiny lands as a credibility test for event contracts: the senators are not asking whether election betting should exist, but whether these platforms can substantiate the preventive controls they claim. That distinction matters because the requested breakdown — blocked before execution versus caught afterward — is exactly the evidence that would separate real surveillance from post-hoc cleanup. For Kalshi and Polymarket, the November 3 written replies will effectively become a public benchmark, and whether the firms can supply concrete enforcement data, rather than procedural assurances, is the open question.
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