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Intel’s weak Q4 guidance and AI capex fears sink tech stocks; Nasdaq falls over 5% in October

Intel shares plunged 28% on October 30, erasing nearly $150 billion in market value, after the chipmaker guided fourth-quarter revenue to $15-16 billion versus roughly $17 billion expected and non-GAAP EPS to $0.25 versus $0.43. The selloff spread across semiconductors, with the SOX index down 7.20%, as investors questioned the returns on massive AI capital spending. The Nasdaq fell more than 5% in October, its worst month this year.

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AI take

The significance here is less about one chipmaker's quarter than about the market's willingness to fund AI capital spending without visible returns. Intel's guidance miss landed on a sector already primed to question that math, and the SOX's sharp drop shows the doubt is spreading across semiconductors rather than staying company-specific. The open question is whether this becomes a broader repricing of AI capex expectations or a single earnings-driven shock, with upcoming guidance from other chipmakers the clearest test.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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