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Macro

China Treasury futures open mixed; 30-year contract down 0.15%

China’s treasury futures opened mixed on the latest trading session, with the 30-year main contract falling 0.15% and the 10-year and 5-year main contracts each down 0.02%. The 2-year main contract was flat at 0.00%.

Original source

AI take

The curve's shape is the story here: pressure concentrated at the long end while the front end holds flat points to term-premium and duration sentiment rather than a broad repricing of rate expectations. That matters most for long-duration holders and anyone using the 30-year contract to hedge or express views on the growth-inflation mix. Whether the long-end underperformance persists into the close, or the curve flattens back as shorter tenors catch down, is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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