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Circle Q3 revenue $864.9M, beats $776.7M estimate; net income $226M

Circle reported third-quarter total revenue and reserve income of $864.9 million, up 17% year over year and above the $776.7 million estimate. Adjusted EBITDA rose 91% to $317 million, beating the $202.8 million estimate, while net income came in at $226 million versus expectations of $91.6 million. Earnings per share were 84 cents, up from 64 cents a year earlier, and the company maintained its guidance. Circle shares rose more than 3% in premarket trading.

Original source

AI take

The scale of the beats — particularly adjusted EBITDA and net income roughly doubling or more than doubling estimates — suggests Circle's reserve-income economics are proving more resilient than the market had modeled, which matters for the broader stablecoin sector's credibility as a revenue-generating business. The maintained guidance, rather than an upward revision, is the more telling signal: management is not extrapolating a strong quarter into a stronger outlook. Whether that conservatism reflects caution on rate-sensitive reserve income or simply standard practice is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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