Prediction Markets See 74% Fed Hold in September

Prediction-market pricing is itself the story here: a 74% hold reading aggregated across three venues signals that traders are treating a September pause as the base case rather than a coin flip. That matters for crypto and RWA desks, where rate expectations feed directly into the discount rates and yield comparisons underpinning tokenized treasury products. The open question is whether this consensus holds as fresh economic data arrives, or whether it proves as fragile as prior rate-path pricing has been.