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Macro US Stocks

Memory stocks fall despite record profits as market doubts supercycle

SK Hynix fell 9.46% and Samsung Electronics dropped 7.57% on Nov. 5 even after SK Hynix reported an operating margin near 80% and Samsung’s semiconductor unit drove quarterly operating profit above 107 trillion won. SK Hynix closed at 1,264,000 won, down 57.7% from its June 25 high of 2,987,000 won. Investors are questioning whether current profits mark a cycle peak, with DRAM contract price growth slowing to 13%-18% in the third quarter from 90%-98% in the first.

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AI take

The divergence between record profitability and steep share declines suggests the market is pricing the durability of memory earnings rather than their current level. What matters is the deceleration in DRAM contract price growth, which points to easing pricing power even as margins stay elevated. This affects memory makers and the broader semiconductor supply chain tied to their capex and output decisions. Whether the price-growth slowdown proves a normalizing pause or the start of a genuine cycle turn is the open question, and it will shape how the sector's earnings trajectory is read from here.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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