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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin ETF Inflows 8 Days but BTC Fails to Hold $80K

US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw eight consecutive days of net inflows, absorbing billions from institutions, yet Bitcoin price repeatedly failed to break above $80,000. The divergence is attributed to basis trading by hedge funds, long-term holder and miner profit-taking, and options market maker gamma hedging, which offset the buying pressure.

Original source

AI take

The persistent ETF inflows failing to move price signals that the marginal buyer is not the spot market but rather arbitrage desks, whose demand is offset by hedging flows. This suggests institutional participation is increasingly synthetic, making the price action less responsive to headline fund flows. The key tension is whether the supply overhang from holders and miners will persist, or whether the ETF bid eventually forces a repricing. Watching whether the basis trade unwinds or expands will be more informative than daily inflow tallies.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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