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SMIC expects full-year revenue above $12B, up nearly 30%

SMIC co-CEO Zhao Haijun said the chipmaker expects full-year sales revenue to exceed $12 billion, up nearly 30% year on year, speaking at the company’s third-quarter earnings call. Gross margin is forecast at around 26%, roughly 5 percentage points higher than a year earlier, even as total depreciation rises about 30%. Tight global equipment supply chains have lengthened delivery times, with some equipment timing still uncertain, which could disrupt full-year capex execution though not this year’s capacity expansion plans.

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AI take

The margin guidance is the more telling signal: absorbing roughly 30% higher depreciation while still lifting gross margin by about five points suggests SMIC is leaning on pricing and product mix rather than volume alone. The equipment supply constraint is the real swing factor — it doesn't threaten this year's capacity build, but it puts capex execution into next year's planning, and for a foundry that timing risk matters more than the revenue headline. Whether the margin improvement holds as depreciation keeps climbing is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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