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US 2-yr yield falls ~2.5 bps, dips below 4.36% premarket

US 2-year Treasury yield fell 2.48 basis points to 4.731% on Wednesday, dipping to a daily low of 4.3586% at 20:21 Beijing time. The 10-year yield dropped 1 bp to 4.7881%, while the 30-year yield slipped 1.27 bps to 5.2603%. The move followed a V-shaped reversal around the ADP employment report.

Original source

AI take

The 2-year yield's V-shaped reversal around the ADP report suggests the market is parsing labor data for Fed policy signals, with the 30-year staying near 5.26% highlighting persistent long-end pressure. The dip below 4.36% premarket could reflect a brief risk-off or rate-cut repricing, but the recovery points to uncertainty rather than a clear trend. Watch whether follow-through in the 2-year persists or if the market settles back into the recent range, as that will clarify the market's read on the Fed's next move.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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