TREE NEWS reports: Fitch Ratings’ US economic lead Olu Sonola called the August nonfarm payrolls report “unquestionably strong,” reaffirming labor market stability. He flagged next week’s CPI report as the real event risk, saying it is the data point capable of changing the outlook.
Fitch’s Sonola: US August Jobs Report ‘Unquestionably Strong’
The August jobs data removes near-term labor-market stress from the macro equation, but the market's focus shifts squarely to inflation as the decisive variable. For rates and risk assets, the implication is that the Fed's next move hinges less on employment resilience and more on whether price pressures force a policy rethink. The open question is whether CPI delivers the surprise Sonola hints at, which would test current pricing of the path ahead. This matters most for duration-sensitive positions and any sector trading on Fed expectations.
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