TREE NEWS reports: ICE raw sugar futures rose to 18.73 cents per pound at 18:25 Beijing time, up more than 1.79% and the highest intraday level since March 2025. Since the Indian government opened import quotas, Indian mills have applied to import nearly 800,000 tonnes of raw sugar, about 80% of the total quota. Raw sugar prices have climbed roughly 30% this year as the 2026-27 outlook shifted from surplus to deficit, with the ISO forecasting a global supply gap.
Raw Sugar Futures Hit 17-Month High on Indian Imports, Brazil Delays
Sugar's move is being driven less by speculative flows than by a physical policy shift: India, normally a swing exporter, has effectively flipped to buyer, and mills have already claimed most of the opened quota. That tightens the pool of available raw sugar at the same moment Brazilian supply is delayed, which explains why the deficit narrative has displaced the surplus consensus so quickly. The question worth watching is whether India's import appetite persists once the quota is exhausted, since that, not the headline price, determines if this repricing holds.
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