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Crypto DeFi

Trade.xyz Launches ‘Events’ Prediction Market on Hyperliquid, Undercuts Polymarket Fees

Trade.xyz formally launched its prediction market product, named Events, on the Hyperliquid mainnet, covering sports, politics, economics and financial markets. The project charges Hyperliquid spot rates — 0.07% taker and 0.04% maker, falling to 0.025% and 0% at the top volume tier, with up to 40% off for staking HYPE. On a $100 taker trade at 50% odds, Polymarket’s fee could run 14 to 25 times higher, though its maker rebates and probability-linked pricing reverse that edge near-certain outcomes.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is structural rather than product-level: a prediction market settling natively on Hyperliquid can price fees against a venue-agnostic token, which is a different competitive weapon than liquidity or market breadth. The fee comparison is also conditional — Polymarket's maker rebates and probability-linked pricing flip the advantage near-certain outcomes, so the undercut is sharpest in the mid-probability, taker-heavy flow that often defines retail activity. The open question is whether Hyperliquid's existing perp and spot users migrate into event contracts, or whether prediction-market liquidity stays a separate habit.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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