TREE NEWS reports: Bitcoin has climbed 23% over the past 21 trading days, outpacing a flat S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, but stopped 1.5% short of the $83,000-$86,000 band that Glassnode identifies as a ceiling from three sources: long-term holder cost basis, the futures liquidation heatmap and the US spot ETF breakeven. Roughly 1.07 million BTC was bought between $83,000 and $86,000, mostly by long-term holders. Sell-side risk has fallen to 7 basis points a day, under half August’s peak.
Bitcoin Rally Stalls 1.5% Below $83K-$86K Ceiling, Glassnode Says
The stall just shy of a zone where over a million coins changed hands matters less as a price level than as a test of holder conviction: that supply sits with long-term holders, who historically set the tone for whether a breakout sticks or gets sold into. The collapse in sell-side risk suggests the market is not distributing into this move, which is why the ceiling is worth watching as a behavioral line rather than a technical one. Whether that cohort treats the band as a exit or a waypoint is the open question.
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