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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Sell Pressure Hits One-Year Low as Market Awaits Fed Rate Decision

Bitcoin has traded within a roughly 5.5% range for more than 24 consecutive sessions, with about 840,000 BTC’s cost basis sitting in that band. Profit-taking has slowed sharply, pushing the seller risk ratio down to 7 basis points, among the lowest in the past year, though weak buying still caps a breakout. Leverage is clustered at both edges of the range, with about $1.95 billion in short liquidation risk near $82,000 and large long positions between $75,000 and $76,000.

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AI take

The striking detail is the compression itself: a multi-week range with a large share of supply clustered inside it, while profit-taking fades to a one-year low. That combination suggests sellers are exhausted rather than buyers energized, which is why the market still cannot break out. The leverage map matters more than the spot calm — clusters at both edges mean a move toward either boundary could trigger forced flows that exaggerate direction. Whether the Fed decision resolves that standoff, or simply widens the range, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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