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Japan Defense Spending to Worsen US Treasury Yield Pain, Westpac Says

Westpac warns that Japan’s possible additional defense spending will intensify pain in the bond market and spill over into global bonds. Martin Whetton, the bank’s head of financial markets strategy, said Fed rate hikes and sustained higher oil prices will push US Treasury yields up again, and that yields approaching 5% on Monday should be treated as the norm rather than the exception.

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AI take

Westpac's argument links Japan's defense-spending plans to a funding channel few treat as a crypto or RWA story: heavier Japanese issuance can pull global duration supply higher, and if US yields near 5% are the new normal, the discount rate used to value every yield-bearing on-chain asset shifts with it. The read-across matters most for tokenized Treasuries and any RWA product marketed on a yield spread. Whether the 5% framing holds as a baseline, or proves another overshoot, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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