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Regulation Macro

PBOC’s Pan Gongsheng Pledges Continued Shift in Monetary Policy Framework

People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng said the central bank will keep advancing the transformation of its monetary policy framework, in a signed article published in Qiushi. The PBOC will downplay quantitative targets, especially bank lending as a single channel, treating aggregate financing more as an observational and reference indicator, and will rely more on price-based tools with market-driven interest rate formation and transmission. It also pledged to curb “involutionary” competition in finance and idle capital.

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AI take

The shift toward price-based tools and away from bank lending as a single target signals a deeper rethinking of how Chinese credit actually works: as loan growth slows, aggregate financing becomes something to watch rather than steer. That matters most for banks and borrowers whose behaviour has long been shaped by quantitative guidance, and for how rate signals transmit into real financing costs. The open question is execution — whether market-driven rate formation can function while the central bank still leans on window guidance and curbs what it calls involutionary competition.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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