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Goldman Sachs Keeps $5,400 Gold Forecast for End-2027 Despite Fed Rate Hike

Goldman Sachs said it is maintaining its end-2027 gold price forecast of $5,400 an ounce despite the Federal Reserve’s rate hike, with continued central bank diversification as the main structural driver of its bullish view. The bank said its gold outlook carries net upside risk but with greater two-way volatility, and that prices could fall to a near-term bottom around $4,070 an ounce before recovering toward $4,200 by end-2026.

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AI take

Goldman's decision to hold its long-dated forecast through a Fed hike signals that the bank treats central bank diversification as a structural force strong enough to override near-term rate headwinds. The explicit two-way volatility and the outlined dip-then-recovery path matter more than the headline target, since they frame gold as a market where official-sector demand sets the floor and macro policy sets the swings. For RWA and tokenized-gold products, that split is the relevant one: whether sovereign accumulation keeps offsetting rate pressure is the open question, and it is likely to shape how these instruments trade around Fed decisions.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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