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Macro

BOJ Says It Will Keep Raising Rates as Inflation Nears 2%

The Bank of Japan said it will continue raising interest rates depending on economic and price conditions, noting inflation is increasingly approaching its 2% target. The BOJ said price trends are expected to be consistent with target in the second half of fiscal 2026 through fiscal 2027, but flagged risks that inflation could deviate above target. Middle East tensions, AI and exchange rates are factors in assessing the timing of the next hike.

Original source

AI take

The BOJ's explicit commitment to further hikes, even as it flags upside inflation risks, matters because yen funding has anchored carry trades and risk-asset demand for years. A sustained tightening path would gradually raise the cost of yen-denominated leverage, with knock-on effects for global liquidity conditions. The timing is deliberately vague, so the open question is whether the BOJ moves before inflation durably settles near target or waits for the projected fiscal 2026–2027 window. Watch how Middle East tensions and AI-driven demand feed into the BOJ's exchange-rate calculus.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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