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Macro

US 2-Year/10-Year Treasury Yield Spread Narrows to Smallest Since March 2025

The gap between the US 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields narrowed to its smallest level since March 2025. The move marks a further flattening of the curve, with the spread compressing as the two maturities converge.

Original source

AI take

Curve flattening at this pace is a signal about relative monetary expectations rather than growth optimism, since the long end is converging toward the front end rather than the front end repricing higher on stronger activity. That distinction matters for duration-sensitive crypto and RWA yield products, which have leaned on a steeper curve to justify carry. Whether the compression reflects easing expectations or term-premium erosion is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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