TREE NEWS update: A Polymarket account that lost nearly $1.2M bought $155K worth of shares predicting Spirit would beat Vitality in the CS2 EWC Cup, at an average price of 42.9 cents. The match started on August 22 with Spirit leading 11:9 in Game 1.
Polymarket Trader Bets $155K on Spirit Over Vitality in CS2 EWC Cup
The sizing is the story here: a single account staking six figures on a CS2 map outcome shows how deep prediction-market liquidity has become in esports, where event contracts now attract positions comparable to mid-cap crypto trades. The 42.9-cent entry implies the market priced Spirit as a clear underdog, so this is a conviction bet against the crowd rather than a hedge — notable given the account's prior losses, which suggests either a deliberate high-variance strategy or a willingness to chase recovery. Whether esports order books can absorb positions of this size without moving odds is the open question.
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