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Oct 2
12:00

Russia’s second-quarter GDP grew 1.3% year-on-year, the final reading showed, matching the preliminary estimate of 1.3%. The confirmation leaves the quarterly growth pace unchanged from the initial print.

Macro
12:00

Dutch TTF benchmark gas futures rose 4% to €76.095 per megawatt-hour on Friday, October 2, closing the week up 7.72%. ICE UK gas futures gained 2.72% to 191.600 pence per therm, a weekly rise of 4.68%. ICE EU carbon allowance futures fell 1.63% to €84.24 per tonne, down 2.32% on the week.

Macro
11:55

China’s 2026 National Day holiday box office (Oct 1-7) has surpassed 400 million yuan. ‘Shen Tan Zhi Hen Ji’, ‘Shen Me Yi Si Fu Fu’ and ‘Huan Ying Lai Long Can Guan’ currently rank as the top three films on the holiday chart.

Macro
11:52

A coal mine collapse in Soma, Manisa province, western Turkey, killed five miners and injured two, Turkey’s Disaster and Emergency Management Authority said on 2 September. Seven miners were trapped after the collapse on the afternoon of 1 September; rescue teams recovered five bodies overnight. Nine people including the mining company’s general manager have been detained, and one of the two rescued miners remains hospitalized.

Macro
11:49

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a video statement on the 2nd that the truth of the cockpit confrontation aboard a Dubai airline passenger jet is gradually becoming clear, claiming the attacker was influenced by extremist ideology and intended to bring the plane down. Netanyahu added Israel is investigating whether the attacker acted on someone else’s orders, and that whoever is behind it will pay a heavy price. Iran’s state television reported on the 1st, citing sources, that the cockpit confrontation was a false-flag operation against Iran.

Macro
11:46

Israel’s Central Elections Committee on the 2nd ordered National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir to delete a controversial video posted to social media. The footage showed Ben-Gvir confronting a Palestinian prisoner, saying he was “proud” of making the man’s detention conditions harder and threatening him with the words “I will kill you” and “I will execute you.”

Macro
11:43

G20 trade ministers met in Milwaukee from September 30 to October 1, with members and guest country Poland attending. Participants exchanged views on topics including opposing the weaponization of food, addressing overcapacity, eliminating forced labor, and adjusting most-favored-nation principles. The meeting produced a joint statement on food but no outcome document on other issues. China’s international trade representative and Vice Minister of Commerce Li Chenggang attended and spoke.

RegulationMacro
11:39

The MSCI Nordic Countries Index rose 0.8% to 386.26 points, its biggest single-day gain since Sept. 17, when it closed up 1.2%, after falling 1% on Thursday. Among the ten sectors, Nordic industrials posted the largest advance. Vestas Wind Systems led individual Nordic stocks with a 5.5% gain.

MacroUS Stocks
11:31

Germany’s DAX 30 closed provisionally up 1.15% at 25,225.22 points, trimming its weekly loss to about 0.7%. France’s index rose 0.78%, Italy’s gained 0.4% while its bank index fell 1%, and the UK index added 0.3%.

MacroUS Stocks
11:30

Europe’s STOXX 600 closed provisionally up 0.72% at 631.17 points, leaving the index down about 1.1% for the week. The euro-zone STOXX 50 rose 0.99% to 6,236.57, a weekly decline of roughly 1%, while the FTSE Eurofirst 300 gained 0.71% to 2,521.57.

Macro
11:27

Spot silver fell 1.5% during the session to trade at $60.05 an ounce. The move extends a pullback in the precious metal, with the intraday decline leaving silver at that level. No further details were immediately available.

Macro
11:27

Bitcoin briefly touched $87,000 after weaker-than-expected US payrolls data sent Treasury yields lower. Order-book resistance kept the largest cryptocurrency from reaching new macro highs, capping the move. The advance followed the softer labor print, which weighed on bond yields.

CryptoMacro
11:19

Shenzhen recorded more than 5 million foreign entries at its border checkpoints in January-August 2026. Over the same period, the city’s total retail sales of consumer goods reached 683.248 billion yuan, up 1.6% year on year, with communication equipment sales jumping 53.8%. Vendors in the Huaqiangbei electronics district rolled out new robots and AI translation devices ahead of the National Day holiday.

Macro
11:10

Invesco Ltd. head of North American investment-grade credit Matt Brill expects corporate bond issuance to “fall off a cliff” this quarter as surging US Treasury yields push financing costs higher. “Credit is still open, but rates are just too expensive,” he said, noting firms with immediate funding needs include Paramount Skydance and hyperscalers accelerating AI data-center buildouts.

Macro
11:08

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Jordan’s King Abdullah discussed Lebanon, Hezbollah and Syria, the US side said. No further details of the talks were disclosed. The discussion covers three of the region’s main security files.

Macro
11:00

The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) stood at 3.87% on October 1, down from 3.90% the previous day. The effective federal funds rate was 3.88% on the same day, unchanged from the prior session.

Macro
11:00

The Federal Reserve Board issued an enforcement action against Ontario Bancorporation, Inc., the central bank announced. The Board did not disclose the specific grounds, penalties or terms of the action in its notice. Ontario Bancorporation is a bank holding company; the Fed’s enforcement actions typically address violations of banking law, unsafe practices or compliance failures.

RegulationMacro
10:57

TD Securities said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December and March, shifting its forecast from October and January. The revision pushes the projected timing of the next two rate increases later into the cycle.

Macro
10:48

Goldman Sachs bankers earned substantial fees from handling SpaceX’s June public listing, while the bank’s clients also booked large returns on share sales. Goldman had helped wealthy clients bet on Musk’s company more than five years ago, and its partners were able to co-invest with clients, potentially realizing significant gains. The bank will use proceeds from incentive fees to accelerate some charitable donations for tax optimization, a move CEO Solomon hinted at during a conference last month.

MacroUS Stocks
10:43

The spread between French and German 10-year government bond yields narrowed to 140 basis points, down sharply from 159 basis points. The move marks a significant compression in the risk premium investors demand to hold French debt over German bunds, the euro area’s benchmark safe asset.

Macro
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