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Macro US Stocks

CSC: Mid-term Bottom Formation Often Turbulent, Stay Patient

China Securities Co. (CSC) said the A-share market remains in a second deleveraging phase that began in late September, shifting from one-way declines to high-volatility swings this week. It cited three pressures: tight overseas liquidity from Middle East geopolitics, high oil prices and Fed rate-hike expectations; mixed overseas Q3 earnings; and unresolved domestic liquidity strain. CSC noted stabilization funds have entered since October and said confirming a bottom requires more such inflows plus steadier margin financing and ETF support.

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AI take

CSC's framing matters because it reframes the current phase as a deleveraging transition rather than a clean bottom, which implies volatility is structural, not incidental. The emphasis on stabilization-fund entries since October, paired with the call for steadier margin financing and ETF support, points to a market whose floor depends on policy-driven flows rather than organic demand. For A-share participants, the key tension is whether official buying can offset the external liquidity squeeze CSC attributes to geopolitics, oil and Fed expectations. The open question is whether those inflows broaden beyond stabilization funds into margin and ETF channels.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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