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Macro US Stocks

JPMorgan strategists advise buying VIX upside ahead of US midterms

JPMorgan strategists including Dubravko Lakos-Bujas told clients to position for rising implied volatility ahead of the US midterm elections, warning the VIX could repeat its pre-election pattern or that other macro risks could intensify. In a client note, the team said it prefers buying VIX upside before the vote, noting that implied volatility remains low even as interest rates, fuel prices and AI-driven disruption hang over markets.

Original source

AI take

A major sell-side desk publicly recommending VIX upside is notable because it signals that election risk is being treated as underpriced rather than as a routine calendar event. The call ties electoral uncertainty to the same macro backdrop already pressuring markets — rates, fuel prices and AI-driven disruption — meaning a volatility bid would not be isolated to the vote itself. Whether implied volatility stays subdued into the vote, or reprices toward the pre-election pattern JPMorgan cites, is the open question for positioning across risk assets.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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