TREE NEWS reports: A survival analysis of 150 Solana-era meme coins in Talos market data found the median time from first trade to all-time high is just 17.2 days, with a quarter topping out in 1.6 days. After peaking, the median coin takes 370 days to fall 95% from its high, and only 5 of 151 tokens now trade above their first-day price.
Study: Meme Coins Peak in 17 Days, Half Fall 95% Within 370
The asymmetry here is the story: the upside window is measured in days, the decay in months, and the base rate of survival is close to zero. That matters less as a warning about meme coins than as a benchmark for the RWA sector, where long-horizon tokenization pitches implicitly assume a durability that this data shows is rare in crypto's most liquid retail segment. The open question is whether attention-driven issuance keeps compressing peak timelines as launch infrastructure gets cheaper.
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