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Macro

China bond futures up at morning close, 30-yr leads

China’s treasury bond futures closed higher in the morning session, with the 30-year main contract rising 0.35%, the 10-year up 0.09%, the 5-year up 0.04%, and the 2-year up 0.02%.

Original source

AI take

The outsized gain in the 30-year contract relative to shorter tenors signals a pronounced bid at the long end of China's curve, which may reflect expectations for sustained low yields or policy accommodation. This steepening action matters for fixed-income traders and institutions holding duration, as it suggests demand is concentrating in longer maturities. The key question is whether this long-end strength persists through the session and into the next, which would indicate a broader shift in rate sentiment rather than a one-off move.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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