Polymarket Odds of ETH Hitting $1900 in August Drop to 7%

The sharp divergence between the two contracts suggests traders are repricing the distribution of August outcomes rather than simply turning bearish — a lower upside tail is being priced out while a higher one gains. That asymmetry, on a market resolved against Binance's 1-minute highs, makes the near-term path and intraday wicks unusually relevant to settlement. Whether the $2400 contract keeps absorbing the probability shed by the $1900 leg is the open question.