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Macro

UK Average Weekly Earnings Growth Slows to 3.9% in Three Months to July

UK average weekly earnings including bonuses rose 3.9% year-on-year in the three months to July, slowing from 4.1% in the prior period. The reading covers the May-to-July window and marks a deceleration in headline pay growth.

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AI take

The cooling in headline pay growth matters less for its direction than for what it signals about underlying wage pressure, since the reading spans a period that predates more recent shifts in the labour market. For rate-sensitive sectors, including tokenised real-world assets that trade on rate expectations, the question is whether this deceleration is the start of a durable trend or simply noise in a single window. Whether the next reading confirms or reverses this move is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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